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NFL handicapping system

NFL Free Pick Of The Week By Tom Stryker

Author: Tom Stryker - Friday, December 14, 2007

NFL Late Season Bad Encore

The last three games of the NFL regular season can mean everything to those teams still in the playoff hunt and nothing to the others that have already been eliminated. Novice handicappers could experience a great deal of financial stress at this time of the year. The Las Vegas line is usually inflated on those squads still battling for playoff position. If you invest your hard earned dough on "bad" numbers in the pros, you can go broke in a hurry. Fortunately, my powerful NFL database has kept me in the profit zone in the month of December thanks to a handful of incredible late season systems.

This NFL Late Season Bad Encore system is just one that has made me a ton of money over the years. Let's take a look at this awesome technical situation:

Since 1984, NFL non-division road teams from game 14 to game 16 are a miserable 38-73-2 ATS provided they check in off a double-digit loss. At this time of the season, blowouts can weigh heavy on pro teams. Injuries and fatigue have settled in and "getting up" for another four quarters of battle just isn't as easy at it was at the beginning of the season especially if you're forced to go on the road. Not being able to at least face a division foe takes away the motivational factor too. There are two teams locked into this nasty "play against" situation this weekend - Arizona and Baltimore.

There are a couple of great tighteners that really make this system pop. First, if our visitor is priced as an underdog or a favorite of -1 or less, this situation dips to a woeful 27-65-2 ATS. This late-season puppy has trouble recovering from that blowout loss (especially when matched up against a superior opponent) and loses its bark. The Cardinals are the only team that fits this tightener on Sunday.

With our 27-65-2 ATS in hand, this system crashes to an ugly 8-32-2 ATS provided our guest is lined up across from a team that checks in off a straight up victory of four points or more. The home team in this set is obviously riding an emotional high off that win of four or more and carries that success over for another week versus this weary and wobbly traveler. On Sunday, the Redbirds are locked into this nearly perfect "play against" situation.



Good luck with the New Orleans Saints this weekend. In the next article, I'll take a look at a nice Last Home Game system that has worked like a charm. Thanks, Tom.



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