NFL Random Thoughts
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Author: Big Al McMordie - Tuesday, October 25, 2005
Martyball: Chargers' coach Marty
Schottenheimer is an unusual character. Some put for the
argument that he's an above-average coach, who is able to take
over weak teams, bring discipline and organization, and turn
them around. Others argue he's overrated, and that his teams
consistently blow games they should win because of his
ultra-conservative play-calling. This past week, Marty's
detractors gained fuel for their fire, as San Diego absorbed
another gut-wrenching defeat in Philadelphia -- a game the
Chargers appeared to have won. The Eagles returned a blocked
field goal 65-yards for a stunning TD with 2:37 left for a 20-17
win.
Let's examine what happened immediately preceding the kick. The
Eagles went for it on fourth and one and failed. San Diego took
over on the Philly 30 with 3:29 left and leading by four. A TD
drive ices the game, as would a few first downs as the Chargers
could run out the clock. Instead, conservative Marty did the
obvious -- he ran the ball three straight times. Philly had
anticipated San Diego's ground game all day and stacked the
line, and for the game the Chargers had 21 yards rushing on 20
carries, for a meager 1.1 yards per carry! Not surprisingly, it
was three-and-out on that drive, and then the field goal attempt
was blocked. Which begs the question: Why not go for it? Why do
the obvious: three straight runs?! Why not try one play-action
roll out, something the Eagles wouldn't have expected? I'm not
saying the Chargers blew the game with that play-calling, but
isn't it obvious you don't win championships by being
conservative?
At some point a champion takes chances. Look at USC last week
going for it at the Notre Dame one-yard line. Go back and look
at the Patriots the last four years and you find many examples
where they do the unorthodox, the unexpected, and surprise the
opposition. Last year in the playoffs the Chargers went
ultra-conservative in overtime against the Jets, and turned a
promising drive into a long field goal attempt -- by a rookie
kicker in lousy weather (he missed!). The Jets ended up winning.
This year, San Diego blew a big lead and lost at Denver. Yes,
the Broncos have a solid team, but how long does it take
professional coaches to connect the dots? Sorry, Charger fans,
you may have one of the most talented teams in the NFL, but a
title is not going to happen with this coaching staff.
Unstoppable Colts:It's certainly been the year of the Colts,
taking an unbeaten record into their bye week. However, before
annointing this team as Champions, let's point out two
weaknesses. One, they haven't played anybody. Two, this run
defense is still suspect. Last week on Monday night the Rams
used Marshall Faulk and Stephen Jackson to do something no one
has really tried since the Patriots beat the Colts in the
playoffs in January: Run right at 'em. Jackson had 46 yards
rushing in a 162-yard first quarter as the Rams jumped to a 17-0
lead. He finished with 88 yards on 17 carries, but the turning
point of the game was the injury to QB Marc Bulger, who was
carving up the Colts when he went down. Indy still gave up 20
first-half points. Then on Sunday, the winless Texans tried the
same formula and running back Domanick Davis had 85 of his 98
yards before halftime. Sure, the Colts came back and won easily
(and covered -- unfortunately for me, since I had Houston).
Still, I ask the question, 'What's going to happen when the
Colts play better teams that can also run the football like the
Steelers and Pats?' We'll find out soon. The Colts' next game is
at New England, and when they met in January, RB Corey Dillon
had 144 rushing yards in a 17-point Patriots victory.
Steel Curtain: I read an interesting perspective before the
Steelers played the Bengals Sunday in a Pittsburgh newspaper. A
lot of folks are jumping on the Bengal bandwagon, but one astute
football scribe pointed out the pressure is on the Bengals,
because the Steelers have been in many big games and know how
good they are. Cincy is still climbing up the ladder for
respect. Pittsburgh certainly seemed like the more seasoned club
in its upset victory at Cincy.
Futures Bettors, Take Note: This may be a long shot, but why not
the Washington Redskins as NFC Champs? I saw them at 33-to-1 to
win the Super Bowl at a book in Las Vegas. Over the last three
weeks this offense has really caught fire, getting 447 yards
against Denver, 398 against KC and Sunday's 52-point rout over
the 49ers. Their defense is great, they have a solid running
game behind Clinton Portis, and now the passing game seems to be
clicking under Joe Gibbs and QB Mark Brunell. Good luck as
always...Al McMordie.
Related Articles: - Sports Handicapping Tips - Keeping Tabs On Injuries - College Football Showdowns And How To Handicap Them - NFL Weekend Musings - NFL Weekend Outlook
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