Sport: College FootballPick Selection: #314 IOWA (-)
#314 IOWA (-) over Western Michigan by 28 at Noon EST
Western Michigan put everything it had into last week's 34-31 home loss to arch rival Central Michigan. Now, the Broncos must step out of conference play and travel to Big 10 country and tackle an Iowa team that is just itching to blow someone out. This one could ugly men. Let's take a look inside the numbers.
Since 2004, double-digit MAC road dogs are a stiff 36-55-1 ATS provided they're matched up against a non-conference foe. Even worse, if our road pup enters off a poor defensive performance in which they allowed 32 points or more last, this conference angle dips to a shocking 12-35 ATS! WMU fits this play against situation perfectly.
There is a tremendous last road game angle that goes against the Broncos too. What you want to do is play against any team running in their final road battle of the season provided it is sandwiched in between a pair of home games. With this last road game situation "live" and our play against side in a lose-win set (meaning the road team off a SU loss and the home team off a SU win), this awesome angle crashes to a woeful 37-58 ATS. With those parameters applied and our guest matched up against a foe that owns a won/loss percentage of .700 or less, this system hits rock bottom at 18-35 ATS! Western fits this nasty system and all of its tighteners too.
In last week's 21-16 home win over Minnesota, Iowa surprisingly got shutout in the second half. That won't happen against this MAC weakling. The Hawkeyes stand 15-1 SU and 10-4 in their last 15 at home in non-conference action and they light up the scoreboard here. Take IOWA. Thank you and best of luck Tom Stryker.
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