Tuesday **100% CBB Wiseguy of the Month** - 11/27/2007 9:00:00 PM

Duke Blue Devils -8 -110

***Wiseguy Game of the Month*** This line jumped out right away. Digging into the numbers and it became even more out of whack. Looking at the power situations shows that this line is completely off and that explained at the end with the situation that backs this game. Both teams come in undefeated but at this point, these are two completely different undefeated teams. The Badgers had to rally from a double-digit deficit to defeat Georgia on Saturday and now they must take the road for the first time this season. This line is likely to go up.

Wisconsin had played no one prior to that game against the Bulldogs and currently its schedule is ranked 337th in the country. It has blown everyone out but that is actually in our favor seeing that it gives us added value based on the point differentials. The Badgers have better rebounding numbers as well as a better assist/turnover ratio than Duke and because of those, Wisconsin would normally be a play but that schedule is too much to look past, as is the schedule Duke has played, which is half of the Badgers.

Duke lost in the first round of the NCAA Tournament last season and it came out this season with a chip on its shoulder and it clearly seems to be a lot better than the underachieving squad of a year ago. The Blue Devils have blown away all three teams at home, including a very good New Mexico St. team and then won three games on a neutral floor to take the Maui Invitational. Duke numbers are right on pace with the Badgers and this is with the much more difficult opposition played.

This is where the line comes into play. It is almost a contrarian line seeing that Duke is favored by single digits because of the way it has won and that is by large margins. The big wins from Wisconsin are keeping it low by playing no one and we?ll take it. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a win by 15 points or more going up against an opponent after three straight wins by 15 points or more. This situation is a perfect 16-0 ATS (100 percent) over the last five years and 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1997. Blowout city! Play Duke Blue Devils 3 Units

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