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CC Picks

MLB Pick

Free Play For Wednesday - 8/1/2007 7:05:00 PM

  • Sport: MLB
  • Pick Selection: Texas Rangers (Rheinecker) +170


  • Texas Rangers at Cleveland Indians 7:05 PM ET

    Texas Rangers (Rheinecker) +170

    The Rangers picked up a win in Cleveland on Tuesday as the home field edge of the Indians has been diminishing. After starting the season 31-12 at home, the Indians are just 5-9 at Jacobs Field over their last 14 games. The Rangers own the second worst record on the road in the American League but a poor start led to that. Texas is 11-10 in its last 21 on the road after a dismal 9-24 start to the season away from Arlington. The Indians are 3-7 in their last 10 games as a favorite of -151 to -200.

    John Rheinecker will be making his third start of the season and if the results from his last outing are any indication, he will be in fine shape. In seven innings against the Mariners, he allowed no earned runs to pick up the victory. He missed the first two months of the season with back problems and went 4-2 with a 3.57 ERA in nine starts at AAA Oklahoma City. The Indians are struggling against lefties, hitting .167 over their last 10 games while going 0-5 in their last five against a left-handed starter.

    Paul Byrd gets the call for the Indians and he has been very inconsistent of late. After starting the season with four quality starts in his first five games, he has just six in his last 14 outings. Pitching at home has been good to him record wise thanks to receiving 6.5 rpg of support but his pitching has been awful as he has posted a 5.46 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 10 starts at Jacobs Field. With the way Cleveland is struggling at the plate, that run support will likely not come into play.

    Play against any team that is batting .225 or worse over their last 10 games going up against an opponent who is starting a pitcher who is working on seven or more days rest. This situation is 68-38 against the moneyline (64.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Also, play against favorites with a money line of -110 or higher after scoring one run or less in two straight games against opponent after scoring and allowing three runs or less. This situation is 35-20 against the moneyline (63.6 percent) over the last 5 seasons. Play Texas Rangers 1 Unit

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