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MLB Pick

Burns Big Chalk Game of the Month *35-17 L52 MLB - 9/11/2007 10:00:00 PM

  • Sport: MLB
  • Pick Selection: A's @ M's: Seattle


  • I'm laying the price with SEATTLE. Yesterday's loss has caused tonight's game to become absolutely critical. The Mariners simply can't afford to keep falling further behind in the Wildcard standings. I expect them to have a significant advantage in this evening's "battle of southpaws." For starters, Oakland has hit .264 against left-handers while Seattle has hit .295 against them, averaging a healthy 5.4 runs per game. With those kind of offensive numbers, it's no surprise that Seattle has gone a highly profitable 24-10 (+16.4!) against southpaws for the season. That includes a PERFECT 10-0 mark the last 10 times that they faced a left-hander here in Seattle. Washburn gets the call and he's been excellent against Oakland this season, allowing only 11 hits and five runs in 20 innings. That's a 2.25 ERA! Not surprisingly, the Mariners won all three of those games. On the other hand, Braden has faced the Mariners once this season, here in late July. It was a forgettable experience as he allowed 7 runs (4 earned) in just four innings, en route to a 7-1 loss. Losses have been commonplace for Braden though as he is 1-7 with a terrible 6.92 ERA as a starter. Those numbers have been getting worse instead of better. In fact, over his last three starts, Braden has a 12.70 ERA and 2.293 WHIP, averaging less than four innings per start. Look for the highly motivated Mariners to hit Braden hard as they continue their dominance against left-handers and pick up this "must win" game.

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