Sport: MLBPick Selection: Philadelphia Phillies (Eaton) +130
Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks 9:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies (Eaton) +130
I?m not going to stray from the Phillies despite what looks like another pitching mismatch on paper. They took the first game of this series rather easily last night and the momentum continues to build. Philadelphia has now won 11 of its last 15 games to move into first place in the National League East. The offense continues to be up and down (it was an up last night) but the pitching remains a constant positive. The Phillies have now won 10 of the last 14 meetings in Arizona.
The Diamondbacks are definitely on the wrong side of positive right now. Arizona has been missing opportunities on offense, which was the case again on Monday, and the pitching has been the real disappointment of late. Pitching has been the strength all season but the Diamondbacks have allowed 40 runs over the last six games and taking away two Brandon Webb starts and they have allowed 6.7 rpg over their last seven games. Even with Webb, the ERA from the starters is 4.72 in their home games.
When I said pitching mismatch earlier, Adam Eaton against Randy Johnson may look like that but that was the case five years ago. In 2008, it is nothing more than a big name starter being overpriced. Johnson has shown hardly anything to be priced as a rather hefty favorite. He has started four games this season and only one of those was a quality start. He is coming off a horrible performance against Houston where he allowed six runs on nine hits in just four innings of work.
The Phillies counter with Adam Eaton and from the start, I was hesitant because he kept putting together decent starts. And he continues to do that. In six starts, he has allowed three runs or fewer in five of those and he continues to simply keep Philadelphia in the game. Despite six starts, his record sits at 0-0 but the Phillies have won four of those six including four straight. Eaton is coming off his best outing of the season and I see that continuing. In 13 career starts against Arizona, he has a solid 3.80 ERA. Play Philadelphia Phillies 1.5 Units
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