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Ben Burns' BLUE CHIP "Total" BLOWOUT ***3-0 L3 NBA - 3/16/2008 6:05:00 PM

  • Sport: NBA
  • Pick Selection: UNDER


  • I'm playing on Cleveland and Charlotte to finish UNDER the number. This total is several points higher than it was for either of this season's earlier meetings, which I feel provides us with excellent value. The Bobcats, who managed only 80 points (89-80 loss) in their most recent game, have seen the UNDER go 7-3 this season after scoring 85 points or less in their previous game. They've also seen the UNDER go 4-2 on Sunday games this season and 9-5 their last 14 Sunday games overall. With Lebron James' "star power," the Cavs play on Sundays significantly more often than do their guests. Like the Bobcats, they've also shown a tendency to play low-scoring games on the "Lord's Day." In fact, the UNDER is 14-6 the last 20 times that they played on a Sunday and a highly profitable 66-31-2 their last 99. The Cavs have been involved in some relatively high-scoring games on the road recently. However, the UNDER is a perfect 4-0 their last four home games and 6-1 their last seven. The only game that finished above the total during that seven-game stretch came vs. defensively-challenged Memphis. That game still only snuck above the number though and the Cavs held the Grizzlies to only 89 points. The other six games had an average combined score of exactly 180 points with all six falling below the number by a minimum of nine points. The most recent game here saw just 168 combined points scored (88-80 win vs. Portland) and stayed below the total by roughly 20 points. I look for this evening's final score to be lower than expected once again. *Blue Chip

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