Sport: NFLPick Selection: Titans @ Broncos: UNDER
I'm playing on Tennessee and Denver to finish UNDER the number. Both teams saw their most recent game slip above the posted total. That has helped caused tonight's over/under line to remain above the key number of 37, which I feel gives us excellent value on the UNDER. While last week's game finished above the total, the Titans have still seen the UNDER go a profitable 7-2 for the season with five of those games finishing at 33 combined points or less. While the Broncos last road game finished with 38 points, their most recent home game (vs. Green Bay) finished with only 32. That game was also on a Monday Night, which brought the UNDER to 3-0 in their last three Monday Night contests. Its also worth noting that the Broncos, who held the Chiefs to only 11 points last week, have seen the UNDER go 7-2 the last nine times that they were coming off a win over a divsion rival. Both teams will be looking to establish the run. I expect both run defenses to also play well though. The Broncos held the Chiefs to just 67 rushing yards last week, stacking the line with eight and nine man fronts. They're likely to employ a similar strategy vs. a Titans offense which ranks last in the AFC in total passing yards per game. Meanwhile, the Titans' defense has stopped opponents for no gain or hit them for a loss more than 43% of the time and their first-down defense yields an average of just 4.26 yards, the second-best mark in the league. Both teams are expecting to have key defensive players back in the lineup tonight and I'm expecting a relatively low-scoring affair that falls below the number. *Main Event
|
Handicappers
