Sport: NFLPick Selection: Miami Dolphins +3.5 -110
Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins 1:00 PM ET
Miami Dolphins +3.5 -110
***Home Team High-Roller*** You know the adage of never putting good money on bad teams. Miami may well be a bad team but Baltimore could be considered just as bad right now and it is now being asked to lay points on the road. The linesmakers were forced to put this line on this game even though it is dead wrong. The Ravens had their Super Bowl two weeks ago against the Patriots and they obviously left the rest of their season on the field after that game. They failed to show up against the Colts and it is obvious they are in vacation mode.
While the Dolphins have yet to win this season, they are the team with the better mindset heading into this matchup. Name any player who wants to be associated with the worst football team of all time? If the Dolphins finish 0-16, they will be that team as no team has even finished a season 0-16. Playing at New England next week means a loss against Baltimore forces the Dolphins to defeat Cincinnati in the season finale to avoid being the laughingstock of the entire NFL.
The John Beck experiment is over as Cleo Lemon is back at quarterback for Miami. Beck looked horrendous against the Bills in very limited action as he just looked uncomfortable and had no idea what he was doing. Three passer ratings of 56.6 and worse says hello to Lemon as the starter once again. He did not fare well against Buffalo with two interceptions but at least he was able to move the ball He goes against a banged up secondary and a defensive front that no longer can get pressure on the quarterback.
Why is Kyle Boller still starting in Baltimore? He is a turnover machine. He has seven interceptions in his last five games including three last Sunday night against the Colts. Not to mention a fumble. He is part of the reason the Ravens have committed a league-high 35 turnovers and are ranked last in the league in turnover margin at -17. Miami is not the same ball-hawking defense it once was but it has actually put up better numbers than the Ravens defense over the last few games and could in for another fine effort here.
Teams that are 0-9 or worse are 8-3 ATS since 2000 so the Dolphins do have history on their side still. The Baltimore loss last Sunday was a big one but as mentioned, they are forced to be favorites here and fall into a solid play against because of that. Play on underdogs or pick after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 14 or more points. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1983. Play Miami Dolphins 2 Units
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