Sunday **71.4% NFL Game of the Week - 77.8% Run** - 12/30/2007 4:15:00 PM

Dallas Cowboys +9.5 -110

***NFL Game of the Week*** A Washington win over Dallas means it is in the playoffs so it is obvious the linesmakers have shaded this line greatly. The myth is that the Cowboys have nothing to play for, which is in fact not the case and that has also added to the number. Last time we checked, these two rivals hate each other and while Dallas has the top seed already locked up, it would like nothing more than to knock the Redskins out of the playoffs. We?ve seen it time and time again when these must win teams put up a clunker.

Washington has played some inspired football down the stretch including that enormous victory last Sunday night against Minnesota. But this team had lost four straight prior to that so there is no reason to think it should beat the best team in the NFC by double digits. A divisional foe no less. Quarterback Todd Collins has done everything Washington has asked and more. He has yet to throw an interception and his passer rating is at 107. With only 13 career starts, it cannot stay where it is.

The Cowboys will be resting starters but from top to bottom, they are arguably the deepest team in the NFL. More important than keeping players fresh going into the playoffs is maintaining their health, and coach Wade Phillips said proper precautions will be taken this week. That is just fine by us. After Tony Romo leaves the game, veteran Brad Johnson will take over for the Cowboys and even though he has not played this season, he is the type of player that knows how to win and what this rivalry means.

Washington is favored by a lot of points here and for obvious reasons so the value is all on one side. That side is also backed up by a solid situation. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two or more consecutive wins against the spread with a winning percentage between 45 and 55 percent on the season. This situation is 35-14 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being just -2 ppg. Do not let the Cowboys situation fool you as this is still a game they want to win and bad. Play Dallas Cowboys 2.5 Units

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