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Burns BLOWOUT WINNER *10-1 L11 Playoffs, 44-14 L58 - 1/5/2008 4:25:00 PM

  • Sport: NFL
  • Pick Selection: Washington Redskins vs. Seattle Seahawks: UNDER


  • I'm playing on the Redskins and Seahawks to finish UNDER the number. Its true that three of four Wildcard games finished with more than 40 points last season. However, that doesn't mean that's the case every season. The previous year, we saw three of the Wildcard games finish with 31 points or less with the four games averaging just 32. That included a 17-10 road win by the Redskins at Tampa. You may recall that the Redskins traveled to Seattle the following week and combined with the Seahawks for just 30 points, in a 20-10 Seattle victory, The UNDER was never in much jeopardy there as the teams were scoreless after the first quarter, had 10 at halftime and went into the fourth with just 17 combined points. Note that the teams also met earlier that season in a game which also had just 10 points at the half and which also stayed below the number, finsihing with 37 points. Regardless of the past, I'm expecting that we'll see another low-scoring game this afternoon. I've watched the Seahawks closely this season and I've been extremely impressed with their defense, particularly when they've played here in the Pacific Northwest. Indeed, they've allowed a mere 13.9 points in eight games here. Not surprisingly, they've seen the UNDER go 7-3 (or 6-3-1 depending on line) their last 10 games here. Most recently, they held the Ravens to a mere six points. That includes a 3-0 (or 2-0-1) mark this season, in three home games when playing with an over/under line ranging from 38.5 to 42. Meanwhile, we find the UNDER at 5-1 the last six times the Redskins played a road game with an over/under line in the same range and a profitable 32-18 mark their last 50 in that situation. That includes the playoff meeting two years ago, which also had a total in this range. Including that result, the Redskins, who have held five straight opponents to 21 points or less, have seen the UNDER go a perfect 6-0 their last six playoff games. I'm expecting another defensive battle which falls below the generous number.

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