Sport: NFLPick Selection: MIAMI
I'm playing on MIAMI. The Bills have been on quite the roll and they were more impressive than the Dolphins last week. That has caused Buffalo to be a slight road favorite here, which I feel is a mistake. Let's not forget that the Bills got crushed 41-17 in their last road game. Back in a hostile environment, I expect them to suffer their second loss this afternoon.
It's true that the Dolphins didn't play particularly well last time out. They're a much improved team this season though and that was evident in their previous three games. The Dolphins were 3-0 ATS in those three games. They lost by one at Houston (and very nearly won) and they defeated San Diego after crushing the Patriots at Foxboro the previous week. While the Bills would really like to win, the Dolphins desperately NEED to win. As coach Tony Sparano had to say: "It's important for a lot of reasons. We need to win another home game. We need to win a game in our division. We don't want to fall behind these people. We're not conceding anything here. This is an important game, it really is, and I think our players understand that."
While Edwards has been impressive at quarterback for the Bills, Pennington has also been excellent for the Dolphins. Of course, he's got a pair of excellent backs at his disposal. The Bills haven't seen the Wildcat formation and I expect them to have some trouble with it. While the Dolphins may be without Jason Ferguson, it should be noted that the Bills are dealing with numerous injuries on both sides of the ball. Reports from the Dolphins camp are that they are really fired up for this game and ready to go. Several players said Wednesday's practice was their best practice of the season. Left guard Justin Smiley had this to say: "You could just hear it. You could hear these pads. Those things popped today. People were hitting each other. It was a spirited practice...Today, everybody came and was hungry. It was a great practice. I was pretty pumped about that." Look for a determined effort from the Dolphins as they carry over the positive energy from practice and earn the victory, vaulting back into the AFC East race. *2008 False Fav GOY
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